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May 2018, Commentary and Investment Returns

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A long term investment is a short term investment that failed. Chevy Chase

Where are we, at the end of May?

May was a weird month, as they go. The NYSE Composite Index, which measures all the stocks on the exchange was breakeven (actually 0.09%, see below). The other indexes, as you will see were all nicely positive, other than the foreign indexes, which lost money. Generally, we just don’t see quite such a wide range of returns.

The measures of supply and demand that we follow continue to point to an eventual resumption of upward movement in the stock market. We are up for the year and the clients had a good, solid month. Technology was the leader, and we hold quite of bit of it, as you notice below (ONEQ, FTEC, FBIOX and even FSMEX). If we just didn’t hold foreign funds in May, life would have been that much more enjoyable.

I have replaced half of our emerging markets fund IEMG with a new commission free ETF, the iShares Core S&P Small Cap, IJR. I will begin reporting on that fund next month. I like to move in stages and the IJR is definitely the stronger sector and fund.

My final point is to note that when small company stocks begin to do well (even outperform), such as the IJR, it generally bodes well for the stock market. The converse is also true.

How Did the Markets and our Funds Do YTD and in May?

All index and fund returns are courtesy Morningstar.com. Here are the index returns and our fund returns:

May
S&P 500 2.16%
Nasdaq (technology) 5.32%
Dow 1.05%
NYSE Composite 0.09%
Morningstar Div Emerging Mkts -3.19%
Russell 2000 (small co) 5.95%
US Aggregate Bond Index 0.66%
IEMG -2.32% iShares Emerging Markets Fidelity commission free ETF
FQAL 3.03% Fidelity Quality Factor Fidelity commission free ETF
ONEQ 5.35% Fidelity Nasdaq Fidelity commission free ETF
FTEC 7.05% Fidelity Info Tech Fidelity commission free ETF
FHLC 1.49% Fidelity MSCI Healthcare Fidelity commission free ETF
IEV -2.65% iShares Europe Fidelity commission free ETF
FBIOX 7.57% Fidelity Biotech stock mutual fund
FSMEX 4.79% Fidelity Medical Equipment stock mutual fund
FCNTX 4.06% Fidelity Contra Fund stock mutual fund
FBGRX 5.01% Fidelity Blue Chip Growth stock mutual fund
CFRAX 0.18% Catalyst floating rate bond mutual fund
FFRAX 0.13% Fidelity floating rate bond mutual fund
EIFAX 0.14% Eaton Vance floating rate bond mutual fund
RNDLX 0.18% RiverNorth Strategic bond mutual fund
FNMIX -1.41% Fidelity New Market bond mutual fund
FAGIX 1.41% Fidelity Capital & Income bond mutual fund
LENDX 0.39% Stone Ridge Alternative peer to peer fixed return m.f.
Prime Meridian Small Bus LP 0.53% 1 month lag private peer to peer fixed
Prime Meridian Real Estate LP 0.63% 1 month lag private peer to peer fixed
KIP, Kay Income Partners LP 0.56% private mortgage fund

 

We should talk if you would like to review exactly where you stand or if we should consider a change. I am available at your convenience. I have Skype video in case you would like to do a video conference.

 

Best,


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